Query – What is difference in XIRR & CAGR?
Ans – XIRR (Extended Internal Rate of Return) and CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate) are both used to measure investment returns, but they differ in how they handle cash flows and time periods. Here’s a breakdown of the differences:
1. Definition:
- XIRR: XIRR calculates the annualized rate of return for a series of irregular cash flows (inflows and outflows) that occur at different points in time. It is useful when there are multiple investments or withdrawals happening at various times.
- CAGR: CAGR is a simple, smooth annual growth rate that assumes you have one initial investment and one final value, with the growth happening steadily over a specific period. It does not account for intermediate cash flows.
2. Application:
- XIRR: Typically used when cash flows are irregular or not uniform over time, such as in mutual funds, SIPs (Systematic Investment Plans), or business projects with varying inflows and outflows.
- CAGR: Applied when there are no intermediate cash flows—only the starting value, ending value, and the time period are important.
- XIRR: There’s no simple formula, but XIRR is calculated using a trial-and-error method or Excel’s XIRR function, which handles irregular cash flows and dates.
- CAGR: The formula for CAGR is:
CAGR=(Final ValueInitial Value)1n−1CAGR=(Initial ValueFinal Value)n1−1
where:
- Final Value = Ending investment value
- Initial Value = Starting investment value
- nn = Number of years
4. Handling of Cash Flows:
- XIRR: Considers the exact timing of cash inflows and outflows.
- CAGR: Assumes no intermediate cash flows; it only looks at the beginning and end values.
5. Example:
- XIRR: Suppose you invest ₹10,000 on January 1, ₹5,000 on March 1, and you withdraw ₹20,000 on December 31. XIRR will calculate the return based on these irregular investments and their specific dates.
- CAGR: If you invest ₹10,000 on January 1 and get ₹20,000 exactly one year later, CAGR will give you the annualized return assuming constant growth.
In Summary:
- CAGR is simpler and assumes steady growth with no intermediate cash flows.
- XIRR is more flexible and accurate for scenarios where cash flows happen at irregular intervals.
Each method is useful depending on the type of investment or financial scenario you’re analyzing.
Query – How to calculate annualised return from XIRR?
Ans – To calculate the annualized return using XIRR, you simply use the XIRR value directly because XIRR itself represents the annualized rate of return for a series of cash flows that occur at irregular intervals.
Steps to Calculate XIRR and Interpret It as Annualized Return:
- List all the cash flows:
- Include all investments (negative values) and withdrawals or returns (positive values).
- For instance, investments like SIPs (Systematic Investment Plans) or any periodic deposits are entered as negative cash flows.
- Any redemption, dividends, or gains are entered as positive cash flows.
- Associate each cash flow with its corresponding date:
- Note the exact date for each investment and redemption, as XIRR takes into account the timing of the cash flows.
- Use the XIRR function in Excel (or other financial tools):
- Open Excel and use the following function: Copy code
=XIRR(values, dates)
- Values: The array of cash flows, where investments are negative and returns are positive.
- Dates: The corresponding array of dates for each cash flow.
- Interpret the result:
- The result you get from the XIRR function is the annualized return expressed as a percentage.
- For example, if XIRR gives you a value of 12%, that means your investment has earned an annualized return of 12% over the given time period, considering the irregular cash flows.
Example:
Let’s assume you invested ₹10,000 on January 1, 2021, and ₹5,000 on June 1, 2021. You withdrew ₹20,000 on January 1, 2022. Here’s how you would set it up in Excel:
- Cash Flow values: -10000, -5000, 20000
- Corresponding Dates: 01/01/2021, 06/01/2021, 01/01/2022
Use the function in Excel:
=XIRR({-10000,-5000,20000}, {“01/01/2021″,”06/01/2021″,”01/01/2022”})
The result, say XIRR = 30%, would mean you earned an annualized return of 30%.
Key Points:
- XIRR = Annualized Return: XIRR already gives the annualized rate of return, so there is no need for further calculation once you have the XIRR value.
- This method adjusts for the timing of cash flows, making it a more accurate reflection of your annualized performance compared to simpler measures like total return or CAGR.
Query – What is and where is the relevance of XIRR and CAGR in taking Financial decisions?
Ans – XIRR (Extended Internal Rate of Return) and CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate) are both key metrics in financial decision-making, but they have different applications and relevance depending on the type of investment or financial situation. Below is an explanation of their relevance and how they can be applied when making financial decisions:
1. CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate):
- What It Is:
- CAGR shows the smoothed average growth rate of an investment over a specific period, assuming the investment grows at a steady rate.
- It is used to calculate how much an investment has grown annually, on average, without considering the timing of cash flows or intermediate gains.
- Relevance:
- Long-term investment comparison: Useful for comparing the performance of different investments over the same period. For example, if you’re evaluating mutual funds, stocks, or real estate investments, CAGR allows you to see which one had a better overall growth over time.
- Simple investments: If your investment doesn’t have intermediate cash flows, like a lump sum invested in a stock or a bond, CAGR can provide a clear picture of its growth.
- Setting financial goals: Investors can use CAGR to forecast growth, such as planning how long it will take to reach a financial goal, assuming a fixed growth rate.
- When to Use:
- When there are no intermittent cash flows during the investment period.
- When you need a simple performance comparison between investments over the same time period.
Example of Use:
- If you invested ₹1,00,000 in a mutual fund and its value grew to ₹1,50,000 in 3 years, you could use CAGR to determine the annualized growth rate. This would be useful for comparing it to other funds or investment vehicles.
CAGR=(Final ValueInitial Value)1n−1CAGR=(Initial ValueFinal Value)n1−1
Where “n” is the number of years.
2. XIRR (Extended Internal Rate of Return):
- What It Is:
- XIRR calculates the annualized rate of return for a series of irregular cash flows (both inflows and outflows) over different periods. It factors in the exact dates of investments and withdrawals.
- This method is more flexible and realistic for investments that involve multiple transactions at different times, such as systematic investment plans (SIPs), recurring deposits, or dividend reinvestments.
- Relevance:
- Complex investments with multiple cash flows: XIRR is ideal when you make multiple investments or withdrawals over time, such as in mutual funds (SIPs), real estate projects, or any business venture where cash flows do not occur at regular intervals.
- Accurate return measurement: For financial decisions where timing is crucial, XIRR offers a more accurate picture. For example, if you are an investor regularly adding money into an account or fund, CAGR won’t reflect the true performance due to varying contributions, while XIRR adjusts for these variations.
- Measuring the return on investment portfolios: In wealth management, where there are multiple deposits, redemptions, and capital additions across the portfolio, XIRR is the best way to measure overall performance.
- When to Use:
- When you have irregular cash flows over different periods, and timing plays a significant role in evaluating the performance.
- For evaluating business projects or private equity investments, where capital is injected at various stages.
Example of Use:
- If you invest ₹10,000 on January 1, ₹5,000 on June 1, and withdraw ₹20,000 on December 31, XIRR helps you calculate the annualized return taking into account all the cash flows and their timing.
Relevance of CAGR & XIRR in Financial Decisions:
- Investment Portfolio Monitoring:
- CAGR: Useful when you want a quick view of your investment’s annual growth, especially in lump sum investments or for a specific period.
- XIRR: Critical when you need to understand the annualized return of an investment that had multiple contributions or withdrawals at irregular intervals. This helps to understand the actual performance of the investment, considering the timing of cash flows.
- Selecting Mutual Funds or SIPs:
- CAGR: Can be used to compare the performance of different mutual funds over a fixed period (e.g., 3 or 5 years).
- XIRR: Should be used when evaluating the return on a mutual fund where there have been multiple investments over time, especially in SIPs. This gives a more realistic measure of how the fund has performed given your investment pattern.
- Personal Financial Planning:
- CAGR: Helps in setting expectations for long-term growth in retirement or educational savings plans based on a constant growth rate.
- XIRR: Useful for determining the performance of your savings or investments when contributions are made periodically, such as in a retirement account with periodic deposits.
- Business Valuation and Project Finance:
- CAGR: Sometimes used in business valuation to show a business’s steady growth over time.
- XIRR: Crucial in project finance or business valuation for projects with varying capital requirements at different stages. It provides a better picture of the return on investment (ROI) for the entire project lifecycle.
- Wealth Management and Financial Advisory:
- Financial advisors use CAGR for clients who want simple, long-term growth comparisons, while XIRR is more commonly used in comprehensive financial planning where clients make multiple investments over time, like SIPs, or need a more detailed return analysis.
CAGR & XIRR – Which to Use in Decision-Making?
- CAGR is appropriate when:
- Investments have no intermediate cash flows.
- You need to compare different investments over the same period.
- You are planning for long-term financial goals with a fixed growth assumption.
- XIRR is more suitable when:
- Investments involve irregular cash flows or varying contributions over time.
- The timing of cash inflows and outflows is essential in evaluating the actual returns.
- You are managing a portfolio with multiple transactions over time.
In summary, while both metrics are used to evaluate investment returns, XIRR is more accurate and applicable when cash flows are irregular, whereas CAGR is simpler and useful when analyzing investments with consistent growth over time. Understanding the difference helps you make informed financial decisions depending on the type of investment or financial product.